Matchup Machine

Mauricio Dubon

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matchup for Michael Wacha

309th out of 436 (Worst 29%)

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Michael Wacha

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matchup for Mauricio Dubon

202nd out of 567 (Best 36%)

Moderate advantage for Dubon
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Model Prediction

Mauricio Dubon has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.6% higher than Dubon's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Wacha.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.7%27.8%1.9%5.4%20.5%3.9%14.1%
Dubon+0.6+1.7+0.2+0.2+1.3-1.1-1.6
Wacha+0.5+4.6-0.9+0.3+5.2-4.1-7.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Mauricio Dubon is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Dubon has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Mauricio Dubon hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
32%
   4-Seam (R)
31%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

8.4% of Mauricio Dubon's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.4% lower than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.4% +0.4% 6%         Walk -3.8% -2.0% 34%         In Play +14.3% +1.5% 39%         On Base +4.5% -3.0% 31%         Hit +8.3% -1.0% 14%         Single +4.9% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +5.4% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.9% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years