Matchup Machine

Garrett Cooper

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Garrett Cooper

347th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Leans in favor of Weathers
2

Model Prediction

Garrett Cooper has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.4% lower than Cooper's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.0%22.8%2.8%6.4%13.6%6.2%31.3%
Cooper-1.4+0.1-0.2+1.3-1.0-1.4+1.5
Weathers-0.9+1.2+0.7+0.8-0.3-2.2+6.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Garrett Cooper is better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Cooper has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Garrett Cooper has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

17.6% of Garrett Cooper's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% -2.1% 5%         Walk -0.7% -0.6% 41%         In Play -4.3% +2.7% 39%         On Base +0.7% +0.9% 31%         Hit +1.4% +1.5% 14%         Single +0.3% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +0.6% -0.5%

History

Garrett Cooper has 4 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual421001020.500
Expected From Contact →0.850.000.010.840.423
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-21Walk
2023-08-21Walk
2023-05-30Flyout2%97%
2023-05-30Single81%18%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.