Garrett Cooper has a 22.9% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 7.4% lower than Cooper's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Gilbert.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 22.9% | 19.1% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 43.7% |
Cooper | -7.4 | -3.6 | -0.4 | -0.2 | -3.0 | -3.8 | +14.0 |
Gilbert | -1.8 | -0.7 | +0.2 | -0.2 | -0.7 | -1.1 | +9.2 |
Garrett Cooper is worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Cooper has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.
Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Garrett Cooper has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers
17.6% of Garrett Cooper's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Garrett Cooper has 5 plate appearances against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a walk
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.250 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.30 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1.27 | 0.326 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-08-08 | Strikeout | ||||
2023-08-08 | Lineout | 2% | 36% | 63% | |
2022-05-01 | Walk | ||||
2022-05-01 | Single | 1% | 91% | 7% | |
2022-05-01 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.