Matchup Machine

Garrett Cooper

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matchup for Logan Gilbert

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Logan Gilbert

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matchup for Garrett Cooper

556th out of 567 (Worst 2%)

Extreme advantage for Gilbert
9

Model Prediction

Garrett Cooper has a 22.9% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 7.4% lower than Cooper's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Gilbert.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction22.9%19.1%2.6%4.9%11.6%3.9%43.7%
Cooper-7.4-3.6-0.4-0.2-3.0-3.8+14.0
Gilbert-1.8-0.7+0.2-0.2-0.7-1.1+9.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Garrett Cooper is worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Cooper has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Garrett Cooper has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Kn-Curve (R)
9%
   Splitter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

17.6% of Garrett Cooper's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% +4.3% 5%         Walk -0.7% -4.2% 41%         In Play -4.3% 0.0% 39%         On Base +0.7% -7.3% 31%         Hit +1.4% -3.1% 14%         Single +0.3% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% -1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.6% +0.5%

History

Garrett Cooper has 5 plate appearances against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual541001210.250
Expected From Contact →1.300.000.031.270.326
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-08Strikeout
2023-08-08Lineout2%36%63%
2022-05-01Walk
2022-05-01Single1%91%7%
2022-05-01Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.