Matchup Machine

Garrett Cooper

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matchup for Logan Webb

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Garrett Cooper

147th out of 567 (Best 27%)

Moderate advantage for Cooper
4

Model Prediction

Garrett Cooper has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 2.4% higher than Cooper's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.7%26.2%3.0%5.3%17.9%6.5%25.7%
Cooper+2.4+3.5+0.0+0.3+3.2-1.1-4.1
Webb+0.5+1.4+0.6+0.1+0.7-1.0+3.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Garrett Cooper is worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Cooper has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Garrett Cooper has a D grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

17.6% of Garrett Cooper's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% -0.8% 5%         Walk -0.7% -2.4% 41%         In Play -4.3% +3.2% 39%         On Base +0.7% +1.6% 31%         Hit +1.4% +4.0% 14%         Single +0.3% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +2.8% 3%         Home Run +0.6% -1.3%

History

Garrett Cooper has 13 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 13 with 5 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual13132002500.154
Expected From Contact →2.440.180.741.530.188
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-30Strikeout
2024-04-30Strikeout
2023-05-20Forceout16%11%74%
2023-05-20Strikeout
2023-05-20Groundout3%97%
2023-04-17Strikeout
2023-04-17Strikeout
2023-04-17Groundout1%5%94%
2022-06-04Groundout5%95%
2022-06-04Single45%28%26%
2022-04-08Single4%80%15%
2022-04-08Flyout18%8%75%
2022-04-08Groundout20%80%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.