Matchup Machine

Garrett Cooper

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matchup for Pablo Lopez

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Pablo Lopez

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matchup for Garrett Cooper

363rd out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Moderate advantage for Lopez
3

Model Prediction

Garrett Cooper has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Pablo Lopez, which is 0.6% lower than Cooper's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Lopez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.7%23.9%3.0%4.2%16.7%5.8%30.8%
Cooper-0.6+1.20.0-0.8+2.1-1.8+1.0
Lopez-0.9+0.2+0.5-0.3+0.1-1.0+5.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Garrett Cooper is worse vs right-handed pitching. Pablo Lopez is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Cooper has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Pablo Lopez throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Garrett Cooper has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Changeup (R)
25%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Curve (R)
10%
   Sinker (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

17.6% of Garrett Cooper's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Pablo Lopez strikes out 18.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% +4.2% 5%         Walk -0.7% -2.5% 41%         In Play -4.3% -1.7% 39%         On Base +0.7% -1.8% 31%         Hit +1.4% +0.7% 14%         Single +0.3% +0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.6% -0.4%

History

Garrett Cooper has 5 plate appearances against Pablo Lopez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual550000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.150.000.020.130.030
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-04Strikeout
2024-05-04Groundout2%98%
2023-04-05Strikeout
2023-04-05Pop Out2%7%91%
2023-04-05Groundout4%96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.