Matchup Machine

Andrew Benintendi

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matchup for Matt Festa

283rd out of 436 (Worst 35%)

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Matt Festa

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matchup for A. Benintendi

429th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Moderate advantage for Benintendi
3

Model Prediction

Andrew Benintendi has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs Matt Festa, which is 2.3% lower than Benintendi's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Festa.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.6%23.6%3.3%5.9%14.4%7.0%23.4%
Benintendi-2.3+0.30.0+0.7-0.3-2.6+3.4
Festa-0.2+0.3+0.4+0.2-0.3-0.5-1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Andrew Benintendi is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Matt Festa is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Benintendi has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Matt Festa throws a Slider 47% of the time. Andrew Benintendi has an A- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
47%
   4-Seam (R)
44%
   Cutter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.0% of Andrew Benintendi's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% lower than the league average. Matt Festa strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.0% +2.6% 4%         Walk +0.8% +3.5% 37%         In Play +5.2% -6.1% 39%         On Base +1.5% +0.8% 31%         Hit +0.8% -2.7% 14%         Single -0.7% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% -1.0% 3%         Home Run +1.7% -0.2%

History

Andrew Benintendi has 2 plate appearances against Matt Festa in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.030.000.000.030.026
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-08-08Walk
2022-08-01Groundout3%97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.