Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Thairo Estrada

matchup for Ryan Weathers

147th out of 436 (Best 34%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Thairo Estrada

465th out of 567 (Worst 18%)

Moderate advantage for Weathers

Thairo Estrada has a 26.9% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.8% lower than Estrada's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.9%	22.5%	1.3%	5.6%	15.5%	4.4%	20.0%
Estrada	-2.8	-1.7	-1.0	+0.1	-0.8	-1.1	-1.0
Weathers	-3.0	+1.0	-0.7	+0.1	+1.6	-4.0	-4.7

Thairo Estrada is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Estrada has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Thairo Estrada has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Thairo Estrada has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Thairo Estrada has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

12.0% of Thairo Estrada's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.3% -2.1% 6%

Walk -5.3% -0.6% 36%

In Play +9.6% +2.7% 39%

On Base -1.3% +0.9% 31%

Hit +4.0% +1.5% 14%

Single +2.1% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +2.2% +1.2% 3%

Home Run -0.4% -0.5%

44.3% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.9% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +9.9% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.0% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.6% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.9% -5.5% 3%

Pop up +2.6% +1.2%

14.7% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.1% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.7% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.8% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.0% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -9.6% +1.1%

10.1% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%