matchup for Cole Winn
matchup for Thairo Estrada
4
Thairo Estrada has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Cole Winn, which is 1.7% higher than Estrada's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Winn.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 31.4% | 26.0% | 2.4% | 6.1% | 17.5% | 5.4% | 18.1% |
| Estrada | +1.7 | +1.8 | +0.0 | +0.6 | +1.2 | -0.1 | -2.8 |
| Winn | -2.9 | +1.2 | -0.4 | +0.1 | +1.5 | -4.1 | -3.0 |
Thairo Estrada is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Cole Winn is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Estrada has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.
Cole Winn throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Thairo Estrada has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
41%
Slider (R)
27%
Splitter (R)
18%
Sinker (R)
8%
15% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Thairo Estrada has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
15%
+4%
Edge Painter
19%
+2%
Strong Challenge
7%
+2%
Non-Competitive
13%
0%
Fringe Miss
12%
-1%
Weak Challenge
7%
-1%
Meatball
5%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-2%
Chaser
4%
-2%
37% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Thairo Estrada has a B grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Break
37%
+17%
Medium Slow Velo
29%
+16%
Small Drop
22%
+9%
Offspeed (R)
21%
+9%
12.0% of Thairo Estrada's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Cole Winn strikes out 11.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Strikeout
-4.3%
-4.3%
6%
Walk
-5.3%
-3.6%
36%
In Play
+9.6%
+7.9%
39%
On Base
-1.3%
+6.4%
31%
Hit
+4.0%
+10.0%
14%
Single
+2.1%
+5.6%
13%
2B / 3B
+2.2%
+6.0%
3%
Home Run
-0.4%
-1.5%
44.3% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.9% higher than the league average. Cole Winn induces Standard Grounders at a 32.7% rate, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+1.2%
-0.8%
34%
Standard Grounder
+9.9%
-1.7%
7%
Hard Grounder
-3.0%
-0.3%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.4%
+2.7%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.5%
-3.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.6%
-0.2%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.4%
+0.7%
1%
No Doubter
+0.2%
-1.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
-5.9%
+5.0%
3%
Pop up
+2.6%
-1.3%
14.7% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+5.1%
-6.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+3.7%
+6.5%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+1.8%
-2.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-1.0%
+2.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
-9.6%
-0.7%
10.1% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 8.0% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+5.0%
-6.3%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.3%
+0.1%
8%
1 to 6°
+1.5%
+0.9%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.2%
+9.1%
15%
19 to 28°
-3.2%
+1.6%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.3%
-3.5%
7%
39 to 50°
-2.8%
-0.9%
8%
Above 50°
+2.3%
-1.0%
No History in the last 3 years
