Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Thairo Estrada

matchup for Alex Speas

158th out of 436 (Best 37%)

Alex Speas

matchup for Thairo Estrada

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Estrada

Thairo Estrada has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 1.4% higher than Estrada's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Speas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.1%	23.7%	1.9%	6.3%	15.6%	7.3%	21.5%
Estrada	+1.4	-0.5	-0.5	+0.8	-0.7	+1.9	+0.5
Speas	-2.9	+2.6	-0.7	+1.1	+2.2	-5.5	-3.0

Thairo Estrada is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Estrada has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Thairo Estrada has an A grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

77%

4-Seam (R)

19%

12% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Thairo Estrada has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Fringe Miss 15%

+3%

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 13%

-4%

Mid Challenge 4%

-7%

96% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 42% higher than the MLB average. Thairo Estrada has an A- grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 96%

+42%

Minimal Break 38%

+28%

Small Drop 36%

+23%

Medium Velo 27%

+17%

12.0% of Thairo Estrada's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.3% +19.9% 6%

Walk -5.3% -0.6% 36%

In Play +9.6% -19.3% 39%

On Base -1.3% -8.2% 31%

Hit +4.0% -7.6% 14%

Single +2.1% -5.7% 13%

2B / 3B +2.2% -5.2% 3%

Home Run -0.4% +3.3%

44.3% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.9% higher than the league average. Alex Speas induces Standard Grounders at a 22.2% rate, which is 12.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +9.9% -12.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.0% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +9.7% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% +5.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.6% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% +10.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.9% -7.4% 3%

Pop up +2.6% +8.5%

14.7% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.1% +8.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.7% -9.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.8% +6.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.0% +4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -9.6% -10.5%

10.1% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at this angle, which is 14.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%