Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Thairo Estrada

matchup for P. Sandoval

160th out of 436 (Best 37%)

Patrick Sandoval

matchup for Thairo Estrada

333rd out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Leans in favor of Sandoval

Thairo Estrada has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs Patrick Sandoval, which is 0.3% higher than Estrada's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Sandoval.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.4%	24.2%	2.4%	4.9%	16.9%	5.1%	20.5%
Estrada	-0.3	+0.1	+0.0	-0.6	+0.6	-0.4	-0.5
Sandoval	-2.6	+1.7	-0.2	+0.2	+1.7	-4.3	-3.3

Thairo Estrada is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Patrick Sandoval is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Estrada has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Patrick Sandoval throws a Changeup 27% of the time. Thairo Estrada has a B grade against left-handed Changeups

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Changeup (L)

27%

4-Seam (L)

26%

Slider (L)

25%

Sinker (L)

12%

Curve (L)

10% of Patrick Sandoval's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Thairo Estrada has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

Strong Challenge 5%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-2%

27% of Patrick Sandoval's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Thairo Estrada has a B grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (L) 27%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

Slow Velo 23%

+10%

Low Ride 32%

+9%

12.0% of Thairo Estrada's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Patrick Sandoval strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.3% +3.4% 6%

Walk -5.3% 0.0% 36%

In Play +9.6% -3.4% 39%

On Base -1.3% -0.2% 31%

Hit +4.0% -0.1% 14%

Single +2.1% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B +2.2% +0.8% 3%

Home Run -0.4% -1.4%

44.3% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.9% higher than the league average. Patrick Sandoval induces Standard Grounders at a 39.9% rate, which is 5.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +9.9% +5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.0% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +2.2% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% -2.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.6% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% 0.0% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.9% -3.2% 3%

Pop up +2.6% +0.4%

14.7% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. 21.1% of batted balls allowed by Patrick Sandoval are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.1% +6.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.7% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.8% -3.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.0% -0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -9.6% -3.2%

10.1% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 9.5% of batted balls allowed by Patrick Sandoval are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +5.0% +0.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.3% +1.1% 8%

1 to 6° +1.5% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° -1.2% +1.6% 15%

19 to 28° -3.2% +1.2% 11%

29 to 38° -1.3% -1.9% 7%

39 to 50° -2.8% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° +2.3% -1.9%

Thairo Estrada has 6 plate appearances against Patrick Sandoval in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			1.75	0.20	1.15	0.41			0.291

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-15	Single		27%	24%	49%
2024-06-15	Flyout		2%		98%
2024-06-15	Flyout	19%	3%		77%
2023-08-07	Double		83%	16%	1%
2023-08-07	Strikeout
2023-08-07	Pop Out				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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