Matchup Machine

Thairo Estrada

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matchup for Logan Webb

218th out of 436 (Best 51%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Thairo Estrada

252nd out of 567 (Best 45%)

Leans in favor of Estrada
2

Model Prediction

Thairo Estrada has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 2.3% higher than Estrada's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.9%27.1%1.6%5.3%20.2%4.8%20.2%
Estrada+2.3+2.9-0.8-0.2+3.9-0.6-0.8
Webb-0.2+2.4-0.9+0.1+3.1-2.6-1.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Thairo Estrada is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Estrada has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Thairo Estrada has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

12.0% of Thairo Estrada's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.3% -0.8% 6%         Walk -5.3% -2.4% 36%         In Play +9.6% +3.2% 39%         On Base -1.3% +1.6% 31%         Hit +4.0% +4.0% 14%         Single +2.1% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +2.2% +2.8% 3%         Home Run -0.4% -1.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years