Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Thairo Estrada

matchup for Jake Latz

147th out of 436 (Best 34%)

Jake Latz

matchup for Thairo Estrada

218th out of 564 (Best 39%)

Moderate advantage for Estrada

Thairo Estrada has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Jake Latz, which is 2.3% higher than Estrada's typical expectations, and 2.5% lower than batters facing Latz.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.9%	23.8%	2.0%	5.1%	16.6%	8.2%	19.4%
Estrada	+2.3	-0.4	-0.4	-0.4	+0.3	+2.7	-1.6
Latz	-2.5	+2.9	-0.7	+0.2	+3.4	-5.4	-3.4

Thairo Estrada is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Jake Latz is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Estrada has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jake Latz throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Thairo Estrada has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

50%

Changeup (L)

23%

Slider (L)

22%

Curve (L)

7% of Jake Latz's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Thairo Estrada has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Fringe Miss 15%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 15%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

42% of Jake Latz's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Thairo Estrada has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 42%

+23%

Fast Velo 32%

+22%

High Ride 31%

+21%

Offspeed (L) 23%

+10%

12.0% of Thairo Estrada's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Jake Latz strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.3% -1.3% 6%

Walk -5.3% +6.7% 36%

In Play +9.6% -5.5% 39%

On Base -1.3% +1.7% 31%

Hit +4.0% -5.1% 14%

Single +2.1% -3.5% 13%

2B / 3B +2.2% -3.0% 3%

Home Run -0.4% +1.4%

44.3% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.9% higher than the league average. Jake Latz induces Standard Grounders at a 29.0% rate, which is 5.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +9.9% -5.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.0% +0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -3.3% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% -4.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.6% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.9% +3.3% 3%

Pop up +2.6% +7.7%

14.7% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. 23.7% of batted balls allowed by Jake Latz are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.1% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.7% -1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.8% -1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.0% +2.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -9.6% -0.6%

10.1% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Jake Latz are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%