Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Thairo Estrada

matchup for Michael King

265th out of 436 (Worst 39%)

Michael King

matchup for Thairo Estrada

360th out of 564 (Worst 36%)

Leans in favor of King

Thairo Estrada has a 30.3% chance of reaching base vs Michael King, which is 0.6% higher than Estrada's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing King.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.3%	23.3%	2.1%	4.8%	16.4%	7.0%	24.0%
Estrada	+0.6	-0.9	-0.3	-0.7	+0.1	+1.5	+3.1
King	-0.2	+2.1	-0.5	+0.3	+2.2	-2.3	-4.5

Thairo Estrada is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Michael King is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Estrada has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Michael King throws a Sinker 37% of the time. Thairo Estrada has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

37%

Slider (R)

20%

4-Seam (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

18%

Curve (R)

7% of Michael King's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Thairo Estrada has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

Likely Ball 19%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-3%

48% of Michael King's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Thairo Estrada has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 48%

+33%

Just Gravity 30%

+17%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

12.0% of Thairo Estrada's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Michael King strikes out 18.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.3% +4.8% 6%

Walk -5.3% +0.2% 36%

In Play +9.6% -5.0% 39%

On Base -1.3% -1.9% 31%

Hit +4.0% -2.1% 14%

Single +2.1% -0.6% 13%

2B / 3B +2.2% -1.0% 3%

Home Run -0.4% -0.4%

44.3% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.9% higher than the league average. Michael King induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +9.9% +1.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.0% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% -2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.6% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% +1.0% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.9% -2.7% 3%

Pop up +2.6% -1.0%

14.7% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. 23.1% of batted balls allowed by Michael King are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.1% +2.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.7% +1.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.8% -3.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.0% -0.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -9.6% -1.2%

10.1% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by Michael King are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +5.0% +0.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.3% -2.4% 8%

1 to 6° +1.5% +0.5% 18%

7 to 18° -1.2% +0.8% 15%

19 to 28° -3.2% -0.4% 11%

29 to 38° -1.3% +1.1% 7%

39 to 50° -2.8% -0.9% 8%

Above 50° +2.3% +0.5%

Thairo Estrada has 7 plate appearances against Michael King in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 7 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	7	7	3	1	0	2	2	0	0.429
Expected From Contact →			2.49	0.98	0.25	1.26			0.356

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-06	Strikeout
2024-04-06	Single		22%	71%	7%
2024-04-06	Lineout		2%		98%
2024-03-31	Home Run	98%
2024-03-31	Strikeout
2023-04-01	Single			39%	60%
2023-04-01	Groundout			15%	85%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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