Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Thairo Estrada

matchup for Felix Bautista

149th out of 436 (Best 35%)

Felix Bautista

matchup for Thairo Estrada

out of 564 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Bautista

Thairo Estrada has a 26.9% chance of reaching base vs Felix Bautista, which is 2.8% lower than Estrada's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Bautista.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.9%	18.7%	2.1%	3.1%	13.5%	8.2%	30.9%
Estrada	-2.8	-5.5	-0.2	-2.4	-2.8	+2.7	+9.9
Bautista	-2.2	+2.3	-0.5	+0.1	+2.6	-4.4	-4.9

Thairo Estrada is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Felix Bautista is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Estrada has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Felix Bautista throws a 4-seam fastball 65% of the time. Thairo Estrada has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

65%

Splitter (R)

25%

Slider (R)

10% of Felix Bautista's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Thairo Estrada has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 10%

+5%

Chaser 9%

+3%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Meatball 2%

-5%

Weak Challenge 3%

-5%

54% of Felix Bautista's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 51% higher than the MLB average. Thairo Estrada hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 54%

+51%

Medium Break 67%

+48%

Extreme Ride 47%

+43%

Offspeed (R) 25%

+14%

Fastball (R) 66%

+12%

12.0% of Thairo Estrada's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Felix Bautista strikes out 25.5% of the batters he faces, which is 19.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.3% +19.3% 6%

Walk -5.3% +2.3% 36%

In Play +9.6% -21.6% 39%

On Base -1.3% -10.2% 31%

Hit +4.0% -12.5% 14%

Single +2.1% -5.8% 13%

2B / 3B +2.2% -5.4% 3%

Home Run -0.4% -1.3%

44.3% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.9% higher than the league average. Felix Bautista induces Standard Grounders at a 34.5% rate, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +9.9% +0.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.0% -2.4% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +0.3% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% -3.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.6% +2.9% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.9% -0.6% 3%

Pop up +2.6% +5.6%

14.7% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. 16.6% of batted balls allowed by Felix Bautista are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.1% +2.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.7% +5.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.8% -1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.0% +1.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -9.6% -7.7%

10.1% of Thairo Estrada's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 10.8% of batted balls allowed by Felix Bautista are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%