Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Willy Adames

matchup for Kyle Harrison

153rd out of 436 (Best 36%)

Kyle Harrison

matchup for Willy Adames

297th out of 564 (Worst 48%)

Leans in favor of Adames

Willy Adames has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Kyle Harrison, which is 0.9% higher than Adames's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Harrison.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.2%	19.4%	4.0%	4.0%	11.4%	11.9%	30.4%
Adames	+0.9	-1.0	+0.1	-0.5	-0.6	+2.0	+2.0
Harrison	-1.5	-3.3	+1.0	-1.3	-3.0	+1.8	+4.6

Willy Adames is worse vs left-handed pitching. Kyle Harrison is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Adames has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Kyle Harrison throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Willy Adames has a C+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

58%

Curve (L)

23%

Changeup (L)

18%

14% of Kyle Harrison's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Willy Adames has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 14%

+2%

Weak Challenge 10%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 16%

-3%

39% of Kyle Harrison's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Willy Adames has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 39%

+24%

Low Ride 42%

+19%

Medium Fast Velo 34%

+18%

16.8% of Willy Adames's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. Kyle Harrison strikes out 15.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.7% +0.0% 4%

Walk +1.7% +1.0% 42%

In Play -5.4% -1.0% 39%

On Base -1.7% +1.4% 31%

Hit -3.4% +0.4% 14%

Single -3.1% -0.3% 13%

2B / 3B -2.7% +0.1% 3%

Home Run +2.5% +0.6%

29.9% of Willy Adames's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Kyle Harrison induces Standard Grounders at a 28.6% rate, which is 5.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.6% -5.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% +2.7% 14%

Low Screamer -1.2% -5.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% +3.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% +2.5% 3%

Likely Homer +2.0% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.6% +1.7% 3%

Pop up +1.1% +0.2%

25.8% of Willy Adames's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. 26.9% of batted balls allowed by Kyle Harrison are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% -2.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.6% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.8% -3.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph 0.0% +4.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.5% +2.6%

12.6% of Willy Adames's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. 8.3% of batted balls allowed by Kyle Harrison are hit at this angle, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.8% -1.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% -3.0% 8%

1 to 6° -0.7% +2.8% 18%

7 to 18° -0.7% +1.1% 15%

19 to 28° +0.5% +0.4% 11%

29 to 38° +1.2% -3.1% 7%

39 to 50° +2.6% +3.1% 8%

Above 50° +2.9% +0.7%

Willy Adames has 2 plate appearances against Kyle Harrison in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-28	Strikeout
2024-08-28	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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