Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Willy Adames

matchup for C. Hernandez

188th out of 436 (Best 44%)

Carlos Hernandez

matchup for Willy Adames

236th out of 567 (Best 42%)

Moderate advantage for Adames

Willy Adames has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 0.3% higher than Adames's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Hernandez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.0%	19.7%	4.6%	5.1%	9.9%	10.4%	28.1%
Adames	-0.3	-0.7	+0.7	+0.6	-2.1	+0.5	-0.3
Hernandez	-2.2	-1.8	+1.6	-0.7	-2.7	-0.4	+4.2

Willy Adames is better vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Adames has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Willy Adames has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

19%

Curve (R)

Kn-Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

Sinker (R)

14% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Willy Adames has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-2%

26% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Willy Adames has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 26%

+23%

Medium Break 38%

+19%

High Ride 25%

+15%

16.8% of Willy Adames's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.7% -1.8% 4%

Walk +1.7% +2.0% 42%

In Play -5.4% -0.2% 39%

On Base -1.7% +0.9% 31%

Hit -3.4% -1.1% 14%

Single -3.1% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -2.7% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +2.5% +0.6%

29.9% of Willy Adames's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez induces Standard Grounders at a 27.5% rate, which is 6.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.6% -6.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% -1.3% 14%

Low Screamer -1.2% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% +2.8% 3%

Likely Homer +2.0% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.6% +4.2% 3%

Pop up +1.1% +2.7%

25.8% of Willy Adames's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. 23.4% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% -4.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.6% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.8% +1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph 0.0% +3.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.5% -0.9%

12.6% of Willy Adames's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%