Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Willy Adames

matchup for Logan Webb

271st out of 436 (Worst 38%)

Logan Webb

matchup for Willy Adames

206th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Moderate advantage for Adames

Willy Adames has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.2% higher than Adames's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.5%	23.8%	3.9%	4.9%	15.1%	7.6%	25.5%
Adames	+1.2	+3.4	0.0	+0.4	+3.1	-2.3	-2.9
Webb	-0.7	-0.9	+1.5	-0.3	-2.1	+0.2	+3.5

Willy Adames is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Adames has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Willy Adames has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Willy Adames has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Willy Adames has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

16.8% of Willy Adames's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.7% -0.8% 4%

Walk +1.7% -2.4% 42%

In Play -5.4% +3.2% 39%

On Base -1.7% +1.6% 31%

Hit -3.4% +4.0% 14%

Single -3.1% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -2.7% +2.8% 3%

Home Run +2.5% -1.3%

29.9% of Willy Adames's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.6% +9.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.2% -3.8% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +2.0% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.6% -7.2% 3%

Pop up +1.1% -1.4%

25.8% of Willy Adames's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.6% -3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.8% -1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph 0.0% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.5% +3.6%

12.6% of Willy Adames's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.8% +9.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° -0.7% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° -0.7% +2.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.5% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° +1.2% -4.8% 7%

39 to 50° +2.6% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° +2.9% -5.1%

Willy Adames has 6 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 6 with 2 home runs and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	3	2	0	1	1	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			2.81	1.98	0.19	0.64			0.469

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-27	Home Run	100%
2024-08-27	Forceout			7%	93%
2024-08-27	Strikeout
2022-07-17	Forceout			20%	80%
2022-07-17	Home Run	98%			1%
2022-07-17	Single		18%	37%	45%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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