Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Willy Adames

matchup for M. Rodriguez

108th out of 436 (Best 26%)

Manuel Rodriguez

matchup for Willy Adames

439th out of 564 (Worst 22%)

Moderate advantage for Rodriguez

Willy Adames has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Manuel Rodriguez, which is 1.9% lower than Adames's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Rodriguez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.4%	18.9%	2.7%	4.1%	12.1%	9.5%	29.3%
Adames	-1.9	-1.5	-1.2	-0.4	+0.1	-0.4	+0.9
Rodriguez	-2.9	-2.5	+0.8	-0.5	-2.7	-0.4	+5.0

Willy Adames is better vs right-handed pitching. Manuel Rodriguez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Adames has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Manuel Rodriguez throws a Slider 39% of the time. Willy Adames has an A- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

39%

Sinker (R)

38%

4-Seam (R)

23%

13% of Manuel Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Willy Adames has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Non-Competitive 15%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Mid Challenge 11%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 10%

-2%

Meatball 1%

-5%

36% of Manuel Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Willy Adames has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 36%

+28%

Small Break 24%

+12%

Large Drop 15%

+10%

Breaking (R) 39%

+8%

16.8% of Willy Adames's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. Manuel Rodriguez strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.7% -0.9% 4%

Walk +1.7% -0.7% 42%

In Play -5.4% +1.6% 39%

On Base -1.7% -3.4% 31%

Hit -3.4% -2.7% 14%

Single -3.1% -1.2% 13%

2B / 3B -2.7% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +2.5% -0.8%

29.9% of Willy Adames's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Manuel Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 41.9% rate, which is 7.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.6% +7.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -1.2% +6.8% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% -0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% -3.5% 3%

Likely Homer +2.0% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.6% -7.9% 3%

Pop up +1.1% -1.6%

25.8% of Willy Adames's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. 24.6% of batted balls allowed by Manuel Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% +5.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.6% +3.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.8% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph 0.0% -6.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.5% +0.3%

12.6% of Willy Adames's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. 11.2% of batted balls allowed by Manuel Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.8% +2.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% +6.7% 8%

1 to 6° -0.7% +0.2% 18%

7 to 18° -0.7% -2.1% 15%

19 to 28° +0.5% -3.3% 11%

29 to 38° +1.2% -0.2% 7%

39 to 50° +2.6% -1.5% 8%

Above 50° +2.9% -1.9%

Willy Adames has 2 plate appearances against Manuel Rodriguez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.38	0.00	0.00	0.38			0.191

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-30	Groundout			38%	62%
2022-08-26	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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