Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Willy Adames

matchup for Dakota Hudson

286th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

Dakota Hudson

matchup for Willy Adames

11st out of 567 (Best 3%)

Extreme advantage for Adames

Willy Adames has a 37.7% chance of reaching base vs Dakota Hudson, which is 7.4% higher than Adames's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Hudson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.7%	23.6%	3.3%	5.4%	14.9%	14.1%	13.7%
Adames	+7.4	+3.2	-0.6	+0.9	+2.9	+4.2	-14.7
Hudson	+0.5	-1.7	+0.7	-0.5	-1.9	+2.2	+1.3

Willy Adames is better vs right-handed pitching. Dakota Hudson is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Adames has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Dakota Hudson throws a Sinker 41% of the time. Willy Adames has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

41%

Slider (R)

26%

4-Seam (R)

17%

Curve (R)

12%

14% of Dakota Hudson's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Willy Adames has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Meatball 6%

Chaser 6%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Mid Challenge 8%

-4%

33% of Dakota Hudson's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Willy Adames has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 33%

+20%

Large Break 34%

+13%

Medium Velo 20%

+10%

16.8% of Willy Adames's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. Dakota Hudson strikes out 10.3% of the batters he faces, which is 7.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.7% -7.7% 4%

Walk +1.7% +3.2% 42%

In Play -5.4% +4.5% 39%

On Base -1.7% +4.9% 31%

Hit -3.4% +1.7% 14%

Single -3.1% +1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -2.7% +1.6% 3%

Home Run +2.5% -1.0%

29.9% of Willy Adames's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Dakota Hudson induces Standard Grounders at a 41.2% rate, which is 6.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.6% +6.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% +1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -1.2% -2.8% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% +1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +2.0% -0.4% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.6% -3.3% 3%

Pop up +1.1% -1.3%

25.8% of Willy Adames's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. 26.2% of batted balls allowed by Dakota Hudson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% -3.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.6% +0.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.8% -0.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph 0.0% +1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.5% +1.9%

12.6% of Willy Adames's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. 8.1% of batted balls allowed by Dakota Hudson are hit at this angle, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.8% +6.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% +2.7% 8%

1 to 6° -0.7% +0.0% 18%

7 to 18° -0.7% +0.5% 15%

19 to 28° +0.5% -3.9% 11%

29 to 38° +1.2% -3.3% 7%

39 to 50° +2.6% -0.4% 8%

Above 50° +2.9% -2.1%

Willy Adames has 10 plate appearances against Dakota Hudson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 9 with a home run, a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	10	9	1	1	0	0	6	1	0.111
Expected From Contact →			1.17	0.94	0.09	0.14			0.130

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-03	Strikeout
2024-07-03	Strikeout
2024-07-03	Strikeout
2023-09-28	Groundout			13%	86%
2023-09-28	Strikeout
2022-06-23	Flyout	3%	3%		94%
2022-06-23	Home Run	91%	6%		2%
2022-06-23	Strikeout
2022-04-17	Strikeout
2022-04-17	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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