Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Willy Adames

matchup for Jose Berrios

278th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

Jose Berrios

matchup for Willy Adames

150th out of 564 (Best 27%)

Moderate advantage for Adames

Willy Adames has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 1.8% higher than Adames's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Berrios.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.7%	23.0%	4.3%	5.1%	13.6%	8.7%	25.6%
Adames	+1.8	+3.0	+0.4	+0.4	+2.2	-1.2	-2.7
Berrios	-0.6	-1.7	+1.4	-0.2	-2.9	+1.0	+3.4

Willy Adames is better vs right-handed pitching. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Adames has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Willy Adames has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

30%

Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

23%

Changeup (R)

16%

18% of Jose Berrios's pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Willy Adames has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 11%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

31% of Jose Berrios's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Willy Adames has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 31%

+17%

Low Ride 39%

+15%

Very Slow Velo 26%

+12%

16.8% of Willy Adames's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.7% +0.7% 4%

Walk +1.7% -0.8% 42%

In Play -5.4% +0.1% 39%

On Base -1.7% -0.3% 31%

Hit -3.4% +0.6% 14%

Single -3.1% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B -2.7% +0.4% 3%

Home Run +2.5% +0.2%

29.9% of Willy Adames's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Jose Berrios induces Standard Grounders at a 34.7% rate, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.6% +0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% -0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -1.2% -0.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% +1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +2.0% +0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.6% -1.5% 3%

Pop up +1.1% -0.1%

25.8% of Willy Adames's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. 26.4% of batted balls allowed by Jose Berrios are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.6% -1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.8% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph 0.0% -1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.5% +2.1%

12.6% of Willy Adames's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Jose Berrios are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.8% -1.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% +0.5% 8%

1 to 6° -0.7% -0.4% 18%

7 to 18° -0.7% +1.4% 15%

19 to 28° +0.5% 0.0% 11%

29 to 38° +1.2% +0.5% 7%

39 to 50° +2.6% -0.1% 8%

Above 50° +2.9% -0.8%

Willy Adames has 5 plate appearances against Jose Berrios in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 5 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	3	1	0	2	0	0	0.600
Expected From Contact →			2.34	0.98	0.07	1.29			0.467

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-10	Single			38%	62%
2024-06-10	Home Run	98%	2%
2024-06-10	Sac Fly				99%
2022-06-26	Single		5%	90%	5%
2022-06-26	Pop Out				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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