Matchup Machine

Willy Adames

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matchup for Carson Fulmer

286th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

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Carson Fulmer

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matchup for Willy Adames

115th out of 567 (Best 21%)

Strong advantage for Adames
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Model Prediction

Willy Adames has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 2.8% higher than Adames's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Fulmer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.1%22.7%4.7%4.7%13.3%10.4%25.0%
Adames+2.8+2.3+0.8+0.2+1.3+0.5-3.4
Fulmer-0.4-1.1+1.6-0.9-1.8+0.7+3.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Willy Adames is better vs right-handed pitching. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Adames has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Willy Adames has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Slider (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

16.8% of Willy Adames's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.7% -2.6% 4%         Walk +1.7% +2.5% 42%         In Play -5.4% +0.1% 39%         On Base -1.7% +3.9% 31%         Hit -3.4% +1.4% 14%         Single -3.1% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.7% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +2.5% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years