Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Amed Rosario

matchup for Roki Sasaki

73rd out of 436 (Best 18%)

Roki Sasaki

matchup for Amed Rosario

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Rosario

Amed Rosario has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 3.8% higher than Rosario's typical expectations, and 3.7% lower than batters facing Sasaki.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.4%	26.5%	2.0%	6.1%	18.4%	6.9%	20.5%
Rosario	+3.8	+1.2	+0.2	+1.0	0.0	+2.6	-1.3
Sasaki	-3.7	+3.9	-1.1	-0.1	+5.0	-7.6	-2.0

Amed Rosario is worse vs right-handed pitching. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Rosario has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Amed Rosario has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

60%

Splitter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

15%

9% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 0% higher than the MLB average. Amed Rosario has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Edge Painter 15%

-3%

Strong Challenge 1%

-4%

Chaser 1%

-5%

Meatball 1%

-5%

Likely Ball 13%

-7%

Mid Challenge 3%

-9%

52% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. Amed Rosario has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 52%

+31%

Very Fast Velo 34%

+26%

Offspeed (R) 26%

+14%

Large Drop 16%

+11%

12.8% of Amed Rosario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.0% -4.7% 6%

Walk -4.8% +27.6% 36%

In Play +7.9% -23.0% 39%

On Base +0.9% +14.9% 31%

Hit +5.8% -12.8% 14%

Single +3.4% -3.0% 13%

2B / 3B +3.8% -6.7% 3%

Home Run -1.4% -3.1%

42.2% of Amed Rosario's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Roki Sasaki induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% +8.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.7% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +2.2% -6.1% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.8% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -2.3% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.8% -2.5% 3%

Pop up -0.4% +15.2%

21.7% of Amed Rosario's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at above 100 mph, which is 24.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% +10.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -2.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.4% +17.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.1% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.6% -24.3%

9.5% of Amed Rosario's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at this angle, which is 11.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%