Matchup Machine

      Amed Rosario

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      matchup for Reid Detmers

      295th out of 436 (Worst 33%)

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      Reid Detmers

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      matchup for Amed Rosario

      103rd out of 564 (Best 19%)

      Moderate advantage for Rosario
      3

      Model Prediction

      Amed Rosario has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Reid Detmers, which is 2.8% higher than Rosario's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Detmers.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Amed Rosario is better vs left-handed pitching. Reid Detmers is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rosario has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Reid Detmers throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Amed Rosario has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      43%
         Slider (L)
      28%
         Curve (L)
      18%
         Changeup (L)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.8% of Amed Rosario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Reid Detmers strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% +6.5% 6%         Walk -4.9% +0.1% 36%         In Play +7.9% -6.6% 39%         On Base +0.9% -3.1% 31%         Hit +5.8% -3.2% 14%         Single +3.4% -2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +3.8% -1.9% 3%         Home Run -1.4% +1.1%

      History

      Amed Rosario has 10 plate appearances against Reid Detmers in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 10 with 2 doubles and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual10104022300.400
      Expected From Contact →3.230.101.381.750.323
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-17GIDP2%7%91%
      2024-04-17Single29%71%
      2023-05-13Double97%2%
      2023-05-13Single67%33%
      2023-05-13GIDP22%77%
      2022-09-12Double10%34%10%46%
      2022-09-12Lineout5%37%58%
      2022-09-12Strikeout
      2022-04-28Strikeout
      2022-04-28Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.