Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Amed Rosario

matchup for Matt Festa

79th out of 436 (Best 19%)

Matt Festa

matchup for Amed Rosario

370th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Moderate advantage for Festa

Amed Rosario has a 28.0% chance of reaching base vs Matt Festa, which is 1.6% lower than Rosario's typical expectations, and 2.8% lower than batters facing Festa.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.0%	24.3%	1.9%	5.2%	17.1%	3.7%	23.1%
Rosario	-1.6	-1.1	+0.2	+0.0	-1.3	-0.6	+1.3
Festa	-2.8	+1.0	-0.9	-0.6	+2.4	-3.8	-2.1

Amed Rosario is worse vs right-handed pitching. Matt Festa is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rosario has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Matt Festa throws a Slider 47% of the time. Amed Rosario has a C+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

47%

4-Seam (R)

44%

Cutter (R)

8% of Matt Festa's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Amed Rosario has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

31% of Matt Festa's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Amed Rosario has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 31%

+18%

Breaking (R) 49%

+18%

Large Break 20%

+16%

Small Drop 25%

+13%

12.8% of Amed Rosario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Matt Festa strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.0% +2.6% 6%

Walk -4.8% +3.5% 36%

In Play +7.9% -6.1% 39%

On Base +0.9% +0.8% 31%

Hit +5.8% -2.7% 14%

Single +3.4% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B +3.8% -1.0% 3%

Home Run -1.4% -0.2%

42.2% of Amed Rosario's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Matt Festa induces Standard Grounders at a 28.3% rate, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.7% -6.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% +2.4% 14%

Low Screamer +2.2% +4.7% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.8% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -2.3% +1.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.8% -1.2% 3%

Pop up -0.4% +2.1%

21.7% of Amed Rosario's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Matt Festa are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% 0.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% +6.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.4% -1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.1% -4.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.6% -0.7%

9.5% of Amed Rosario's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 12.9% of batted balls allowed by Matt Festa are hit at this angle, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +5.7% -5.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.6% +1.3% 8%

1 to 6° +0.3% +1.9% 18%

7 to 18° +0.3% -6.2% 15%

19 to 28° -0.5% +3.5% 11%

29 to 38° -1.9% +1.5% 7%

39 to 50° -3.2% +0.8% 8%

Above 50° -2.3% +2.8%

Amed Rosario has 3 plate appearances against Matt Festa in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.55	0.00	0.03	0.51			0.183

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-08	Single			31%	69%
2022-09-04	Flyout		3%		97%
2022-08-26	GIDP			21%	79%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe