Matchup Machine

      Amed Rosario

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      matchup for P. Sandoval

      235th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

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      Patrick Sandoval

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      matchup for Amed Rosario

      173rd out of 564 (Best 31%)

      Leans in favor of Rosario
      2

      Model Prediction

      Amed Rosario has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Patrick Sandoval, which is 1.6% higher than Rosario's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Sandoval.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Amed Rosario is better vs left-handed pitching. Patrick Sandoval is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rosario has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Patrick Sandoval throws a Changeup 27% of the time. Amed Rosario has an A grade against left-handed Changeups

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (L)
      27%
         4-Seam (L)
      26%
         Slider (L)
      25%
         Sinker (L)
      12%
         Curve (L)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.8% of Amed Rosario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Patrick Sandoval strikes out 16.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% +3.4% 6%         Walk -4.9% 0.0% 36%         In Play +7.9% -3.4% 39%         On Base +0.9% -0.2% 31%         Hit +5.8% -0.2% 14%         Single +3.4% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +3.8% +0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -1.4%

      History

      Amed Rosario has 15 plate appearances against Patrick Sandoval in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 15 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual15151001100.067
      Expected From Contact →2.850.000.162.690.190
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-15Strikeout
      2024-04-15Single9%85%6%
      2024-04-09Flyout100%
      2024-04-09Lineout6%5%89%
      2024-04-09Groundout2%98%
      2023-05-14Groundout23%76%
      2023-05-14Groundout40%60%
      2023-05-14Groundout4%96%
      2023-05-14Groundout9%91%
      2022-09-14Groundout8%92%
      2022-09-14Groundout21%79%
      2022-09-14Groundout17%83%
      2022-04-26Groundout4%96%
      2022-04-26Groundout6%94%
      2022-04-26Groundout45%55%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.