Matchup Machine

Amed Rosario

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matchup for Zach Eflin

66th out of 436 (Best 16%)

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Zach Eflin

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matchup for Amed Rosario

335th out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Moderate advantage for Eflin
3

Model Prediction

Amed Rosario has a 27.0% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 2.6% lower than Rosario's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Eflin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.0%23.8%2.2%5.3%16.4%3.2%18.4%
Rosario-2.6-1.5+0.4+0.1-2.0-1.1-3.5
Eflin-2.4+0.6-1.0-0.3+1.9-3.1-1.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Amed Rosario is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rosario has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Amed Rosario has a B- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
33%
   Curve (R)
19%
   Cutter (R)
16%
   Slider (R)
13%
   4-Seam (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.8% of Amed Rosario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% 0.0% 6%         Walk -4.8% -4.0% 36%         In Play +7.9% +4.0% 39%         On Base +0.9% -3.7% 31%         Hit +5.8% +0.2% 14%         Single +3.4% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.8% +0.0% 3%         Home Run -1.4% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years