Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Amed Rosario

matchup for Seth Lugo

63rd out of 436 (Best 15%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Amed Rosario

368th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Moderate advantage for Lugo

Amed Rosario has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.6% lower than Rosario's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.0%	25.3%	1.7%	4.4%	19.2%	3.7%	23.0%
Rosario	-0.6	0.0	-0.1	-0.8	+0.8	-0.6	+1.1
Lugo	-3.5	+1.4	-1.4	-0.5	+3.4	-4.8	-1.9

Amed Rosario is worse vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rosario has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Amed Rosario has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Amed Rosario has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Amed Rosario has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

12.8% of Amed Rosario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.0% +0.8% 6%

Walk -4.8% -2.3% 36%

In Play +7.9% +1.4% 39%

On Base +0.9% -0.4% 31%

Hit +5.8% +1.9% 14%

Single +3.4% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +3.8% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -1.4% +0.1%

42.2% of Amed Rosario's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.7% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +2.2% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.8% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.3% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.8% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -0.4% -2.2%

21.7% of Amed Rosario's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.4% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.1% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.6% -1.6%

9.5% of Amed Rosario's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%