Matchup Machine

      Amed Rosario

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      matchup for Tyler Glasnow

      235th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

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      Tyler Glasnow

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      matchup for Amed Rosario

      546th out of 564 (Worst 3%)

      Strong advantage for Glasnow
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      Model Prediction

      Amed Rosario has a 23.8% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Glasnow, which is 5.7% lower than Rosario's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Glasnow.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Amed Rosario is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Glasnow is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Rosario has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Tyler Glasnow throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Amed Rosario has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      55%
         Curve (R)
      22%
         Slider (R)
      19%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.8% of Amed Rosario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Glasnow strikes out 21.4% of the batters he faces, which is 11.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% +11.2% 6%         Walk -4.9% -0.6% 36%         In Play +7.9% -10.6% 39%         On Base +0.9% -6.7% 31%         Hit +5.8% -6.1% 14%         Single +3.4% -2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +3.8% -2.7% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -0.9%

      History

      Amed Rosario has 2 plate appearances against Tyler Glasnow in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual220000100.000
      Expected From Contact →0.050.000.000.050.025
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2022-10-08Groundout5%95%
      2022-10-08Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.