Amed Rosario has a 23.8% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Glasnow, which is 5.7% lower than Rosario's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Glasnow.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 23.8% | 20.1% | 1.3% | 4.6% | 14.2% | 3.7% | 27.3% |
Rosario | -5.7 | -5.1 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -4.1 | -0.6 | +5.4 |
Glasnow | -0.7 | +3.0 | -0.8 | +0.5 | +3.2 | -3.7 | -3.5 |
Amed Rosario is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Glasnow is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Rosario has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Tyler Glasnow throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Amed Rosario has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers
15% of Tyler Glasnow's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Amed Rosario has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
39% of Tyler Glasnow's pitches are classified as Minimal Break, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Amed Rosario has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.
12.8% of Amed Rosario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Glasnow strikes out 21.4% of the batters he faces, which is 11.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
42.2% of Amed Rosario's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.8% higher than the league average. Tyler Glasnow induces Standard Grounders at a 41.3% rate, which is 6.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
21.7% of Amed Rosario's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Glasnow are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
9.5% of Amed Rosario's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Glasnow are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Amed Rosario has 2 plate appearances against Tyler Glasnow in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.025 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2022-10-08 | Groundout | 5% | 95% | ||
2022-10-08 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.