Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Amed Rosario

matchup for Zack Wheeler

44th out of 436 (Best 11%)

Zack Wheeler

matchup for Amed Rosario

565th out of 567 (Worst 1%)

Extreme advantage for Wheeler

Amed Rosario has a 21.6% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 8.4% lower than Rosario's typical expectations, and 4.0% lower than batters facing Wheeler.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	21.6%	17.6%	1.8%	3.2%	12.6%	4.0%	34.1%
Rosario	-8.4	-7.9	+0.0	-2.0	-6.0	-0.5	+11.9
Wheeler	-4.0	+1.0	-1.0	-0.1	+2.2	-5.1	+0.3

Amed Rosario is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rosario has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Amed Rosario has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

42%

Slider (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

19%

Curve (R)

11%

13% of Zack Wheeler's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Amed Rosario has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

32% of Zack Wheeler's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Amed Rosario has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 32%

+17%

Fastball (R) 64%

+11%

13.2% of Amed Rosario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.4% +7.8% 6%

Walk -4.8% -2.6% 37%

In Play +7.3% -5.2% 39%

On Base +0.8% -6.5% 31%

Hit +5.6% -3.8% 14%

Single +3.4% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B +3.9% -1.4% 3%

Home Run -1.7% -1.0%

42.2% of Amed Rosario's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.8% higher than the league average. Zack Wheeler induces Standard Grounders at a 41.0% rate, which is 6.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.8% +6.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% -1.3% 14%

Low Screamer +2.2% +2.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.8% -1.8% 3%

Likely Homer -2.3% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.9% -4.0% 3%

Pop up -0.4% +0.7%

21.8% of Amed Rosario's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. 21.7% of batted balls allowed by Zack Wheeler are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% +5.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.6% +1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.4% -1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.0% -3.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.5% -2.6%

9.5% of Amed Rosario's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 9.8% of batted balls allowed by Zack Wheeler are hit at this angle, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +5.8% +3.8% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.6% -0.3% 8%

1 to 6° +0.4% -0.8% 18%

7 to 18° +0.4% +0.6% 15%

19 to 28° -0.6% -0.4% 11%

29 to 38° -1.9% -1.7% 7%

39 to 50° -3.2% -0.7% 8%

Above 50° -2.3% -0.5%

Amed Rosario has 3 plate appearances against Zack Wheeler in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			1.54	0.00	0.05	1.49			0.512

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-22	Single		5%	72%	24%
2023-07-22	Groundout			69%	30%
2023-07-22	Groundout			8%	92%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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