Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Amed Rosario

matchup for Jose Quintana

78th out of 436 (Best 19%)

Jose Quintana

matchup for Amed Rosario

333rd out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Moderate advantage for Quintana

Amed Rosario has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Jose Quintana, which is 0.9% lower than Rosario's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Quintana.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.7%	24.2%	1.3%	5.0%	17.9%	4.5%	18.6%
Rosario	-0.9	-1.1	-0.4	-0.2	-0.5	+0.2	-3.3
Quintana	-3.5	+2.3	-0.7	-0.1	+3.2	-5.8	-2.5

Amed Rosario is better vs left-handed pitching. Jose Quintana is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Rosario has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Jose Quintana throws a 4-seam fastball 31% of the time. Amed Rosario has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

31%

Curve (L)

28%

Sinker (L)

24%

Changeup (L)

17%

23% of Jose Quintana's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Amed Rosario has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 23%

+3%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

37% of Jose Quintana's pitches are classified as Medium Velocity, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Amed Rosario has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Velo 37%

+22%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

Small Break 17%

+9%

12.8% of Amed Rosario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Jose Quintana strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.0% +0.4% 6%

Walk -4.8% -1.1% 36%

In Play +7.9% +0.7% 39%

On Base +0.9% +1.3% 31%

Hit +5.8% +2.5% 14%

Single +3.4% +1.8% 13%

2B / 3B +3.8% +1.4% 3%

Home Run -1.4% -0.8%

42.2% of Amed Rosario's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Jose Quintana induces Standard Grounders at a 34.9% rate, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.7% +0.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% +2.1% 14%

Low Screamer +2.2% 0.0% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.8% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.3% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.8% +0.0% 3%

Pop up -0.4% -0.8%

21.7% of Amed Rosario's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. 22.2% of batted balls allowed by Jose Quintana are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% -0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% 0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.4% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.1% +2.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.6% -2.1%

9.5% of Amed Rosario's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 10.0% of batted balls allowed by Jose Quintana are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +5.7% -2.4% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.6% +3.0% 8%

1 to 6° +0.3% +1.4% 18%

7 to 18° +0.3% -0.1% 15%

19 to 28° -0.5% +1.7% 11%

29 to 38° -1.9% -1.4% 7%

39 to 50° -3.2% -1.1% 8%

Above 50° -2.3% -1.2%

Amed Rosario has 4 plate appearances against Jose Quintana in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 4 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	2	0	0	2	2	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.58	0.00	0.00	0.57			0.144

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-07	Strikeout
2024-09-07	Strikeout
2024-05-03	Single			48%	52%
2024-05-03	Single			10%	90%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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