Matchup Machine

Jose Siri

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matchup for Corbin Burnes

2nd out of 436 (Best 1%)

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Corbin Burnes

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matchup for Jose Siri

317th out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Extreme advantage for Burnes
9

Model Prediction

Jose Siri has a 21.9% chance of reaching base vs Corbin Burnes, which is 1.1% lower than Siri's typical expectations, and 7.9% lower than batters facing Burnes.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction21.9%17.2%3.0%3.9%10.3%4.7%40.6%
Siri-1.1-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.1-0.9-3.0
Burnes-7.9-4.7+0.6-0.5-4.8-3.3+17.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Siri is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Corbin Burnes is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Siri has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Corbin Burnes throws a Cutter 52% of the time. Jose Siri has an F grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
52%
   Curve (R)
19%
   Slider (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
10%
   Sinker (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

23.3% of Jose Siri's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.6% higher than the league average. Corbin Burnes strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 8%         Strikeout +14.6% +3.2% 5%         Walk -1.1% -1.6% 45%         In Play -13.6% -1.6% 39%         On Base -7.5% -3.4% 31%         Hit -6.5% -1.8% 14%         Single -4.6% -0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -4.1% -0.2% 3%         Home Run +2.2% -0.8%

History

Jose Siri has 5 plate appearances against Corbin Burnes in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with 3 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual550000300.000
Expected From Contact →0.070.010.040.010.014
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-08Strikeout
2024-09-08Lineout1%1%98%
2024-06-10Flyout1%3%95%
2024-06-10Strikeout
2024-06-10Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.