Matchup Machine

Jose Siri

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

1st out of 436 (Best 1%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Jose Siri

72nd out of 567 (Best 14%)

Strong advantage for Stroman
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Model Prediction

Jose Siri has a 26.8% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 3.9% higher than Siri's typical expectations, and 10.8% lower than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.8%21.5%2.8%5.1%13.5%5.3%36.5%
Siri+3.9+4.1-0.4+1.1+3.4-0.3-7.1
Stroman-10.8-7.4+0.1-0.7-6.8-3.4+18.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Siri is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Siri has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Jose Siri has a C- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

23.3% of Jose Siri's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.6% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 8%         Strikeout +14.6% -3.1% 5%         Walk -1.1% -0.8% 45%         In Play -13.6% +3.9% 39%         On Base -7.5% +3.0% 31%         Hit -6.5% +3.8% 14%         Single -4.6% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -4.1% +2.4% 3%         Home Run +2.2% -1.1%

History

Jose Siri has 7 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 7 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual770000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.700.230.330.150.100
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-21Pop Out100%
2024-07-21Flyout20%9%70%
2024-07-10Lineout17%3%79%
2024-07-10Flyout2%6%92%
2023-05-29Strikeout
2023-05-29Strikeout
2023-05-29Groundout12%88%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.