Matchup Machine

Tyler Wade

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matchup for Logan Webb

297th out of 436 (Worst 32%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Tyler Wade

192nd out of 567 (Best 35%)

Moderate advantage for Wade
5

Model Prediction

Tyler Wade has a 33.8% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.2% higher than Wade's typical expectations, and 1.6% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.8%26.6%1.5%5.9%19.2%7.2%19.9%
Wade+1.2+3.60.0+0.7+2.9-2.4-2.2
Webb+1.6+1.9-0.9+0.7+2.1-0.2-2.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Wade is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Wade has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Tyler Wade has a C- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

13.1% of Tyler Wade's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.5% -0.8% 4%         Walk +0.4% -2.4% 39%         In Play +2.1% +3.2% 39%         On Base +2.8% +1.6% 31%         Hit +2.4% +4.0% 14%         Single +2.2% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +2.4% +2.8% 3%         Home Run -2.2% -1.3%

History

Tyler Wade has 8 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 8 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual883012100.375
Expected From Contact →2.740.660.221.850.342
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-07Single1%43%56%
2024-09-07Double66%20%13%
2024-09-07Groundout16%83%
2024-04-07Single88%11%
2024-04-07Groundout8%92%
2024-04-07Groundout21%79%
2024-03-28Strikeout
2024-03-28Groundout8%92%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.