Matchup Machine

Matt Thaiss

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matchup for Logan Webb

46th out of 436 (Best 11%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Matt Thaiss

387th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Moderate advantage for Webb
4

Model Prediction

Matt Thaiss has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 2.5% lower than Thaiss's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.2%19.0%2.6%4.1%12.3%10.2%32.1%
Thaiss-2.5+1.1-0.2-0.2+1.5-3.6-0.9
Webb-3.0-5.7+0.2-1.0-4.9+2.8+10.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Matt Thaiss is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Thaiss has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Matt Thaiss has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

17.4% of Matt Thaiss's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.6% -0.8% 2%         Walk +6.3% -2.4% 44%         In Play -10.9% +3.2% 39%         On Base +0.6% +1.6% 31%         Hit -5.7% +4.0% 14%         Single -3.1% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.7% +2.8% 3%         Home Run +0.0% -1.3%

History

Matt Thaiss has 2 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →1.540.110.960.470.768
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-07Single44%43%13%
2023-08-07Flyout11%52%4%34%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.