Matt Thaiss has a 27.6% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 4.1% lower than Thaiss's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Wheeler.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 27.6% | 13.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 40.8% |
Thaiss | -4.1 | -4.6 | -0.4 | -0.9 | -3.2 | +0.5 | +7.8 |
Wheeler | +1.7 | -4.4 | -0.1 | -1.1 | -3.3 | +6.2 | +8.5 |
Matt Thaiss is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Thaiss has an F grade vs this particular release point.
Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Matt Thaiss has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
17.4% of Matt Thaiss's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% higher than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Matt Thaiss has 2 plate appearances against Zack Wheeler in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-05-01 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-05-01 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.