Matchup Machine

Rowdy Tellez

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

177th out of 436 (Best 41%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Rowdy Tellez

510th out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Moderate advantage for Weathers
3

Model Prediction

Rowdy Tellez has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.8% lower than Tellez's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.0%18.6%2.4%4.8%11.4%10.4%27.3%
Tellez-2.8-3.0-1.0-0.5-1.6+0.2+3.5
Weathers-0.9-2.9+0.3-0.7-2.5+2.0+2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Rowdy Tellez is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Tellez has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Rowdy Tellez has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

13.4% of Rowdy Tellez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.0% -2.1% 4%         Walk -0.2% -0.6% 39%         In Play +2.2% +2.7% 39%         On Base -0.3% +0.9% 31%         Hit -0.1% +1.5% 14%         Single -0.1% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +0.1% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years