Matchup Machine

Rowdy Tellez

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matchup for Andrew Abbott

280th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

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Andrew Abbott

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matchup for Rowdy Tellez

271st out of 567 (Best 49%)

Moderate advantage for Tellez
5

Model Prediction

Rowdy Tellez has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Abbott, which is 0.2% higher than Tellez's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Abbott.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.6%20.6%4.1%4.6%11.8%11.0%22.1%
Tellez-0.2-1.1+0.8-0.7-1.2+0.9-1.7
Abbott-0.4-1.0+0.9-0.7-1.2+0.60.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Rowdy Tellez is worse vs left-handed pitching. Andrew Abbott is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Tellez has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Andrew Abbott throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. Rowdy Tellez has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
52%
   Slider (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
16%
   Curve (L)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

13.4% of Rowdy Tellez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Andrew Abbott strikes out 13.8% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.0% -1.6% 4%         Walk -0.2% +0.9% 39%         In Play +2.2% +0.7% 39%         On Base -0.3% -1.6% 31%         Hit -0.1% -2.5% 14%         Single -0.1% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.1% +0.2%

History

Rowdy Tellez has 2 plate appearances against Andrew Abbott in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.370.020.190.160.184
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-06-05Flyout2%17%80%
2023-06-05Lineout2%15%83%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.