matchup for Max Fried
matchup for Rowdy Tellez
2
Rowdy Tellez has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Max Fried, which is 0.4% higher than Tellez's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Fried.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 31.3% | 20.6% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 28.6% |
| Tellez | -0.4 | -0.8 | -1.3 | -0.8 | +1.3 | +0.5 | +4.6 |
| Fried | -1.0 | -2.4 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -2.1 | +1.4 | +2.3 |
Rowdy Tellez is worse vs left-handed pitching. Max Fried is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Tellez has an F grade vs this particular release point.
Max Fried throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Rowdy Tellez has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
35%
Curve (L)
23%
Slider (L)
17%
Sinker (L)
13%
Changeup (L)
11%
13% of Max Fried's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Rowdy Tellez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
13%
+4%
Likely Ball
21%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Non-Competitive
10%
-2%
Meatball
1%
-4%
23% of Max Fried's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Rowdy Tellez has a B grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Drop
23%
+19%
Slow Lob
18%
+14%
Medium Break
20%
+11%
Breaking (L)
40%
+11%
13.4% of Rowdy Tellez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Max Fried strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-2.0%
+3.0%
4%
Walk
-0.2%
-1.8%
39%
In Play
+2.2%
-1.2%
39%
On Base
-0.3%
+0.3%
31%
Hit
-0.1%
+2.0%
14%
Single
-0.1%
+1.7%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.1%
+1.7%
3%
Home Run
+0.1%
-1.4%
27.4% of Rowdy Tellez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.0% lower than the league average. Max Fried induces Standard Grounders at a 45.7% rate, which is 11.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
+0.2%
34%
Standard Grounder
-7.0%
+11.3%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.6%
+0.3%
14%
Low Screamer
+3.0%
-1.3%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.0%
+0.2%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.4%
-1.6%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.3%
-1.3%
1%
No Doubter
+0.3%
-0.6%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.4%
-6.5%
3%
Pop up
+1.3%
-0.7%
31.7% of Rowdy Tellez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.4% higher than the league average. 20.8% of batted balls allowed by Max Fried are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.4%
+4.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+1.6%
+3.1%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-4.1%
-3.9%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.3%
+0.0%
24%
Above 100 mph
+7.4%
-3.5%
13.4% of Rowdy Tellez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Max Fried are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-3.7%
+8.9%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.6%
+2.0%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.8%
-0.2%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.1%
+0.4%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.5%
-3.5%
11%
29 to 38°
+2.0%
-1.3%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.7%
-2.3%
8%
Above 50°
+3.8%
-3.9%
Rowdy Tellez has 6 plate appearances against Max Fried in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with 3 strikeouts.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.167 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.97 | 0.01 | 0.20 | 0.76 | 0.162 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2022-05-18 | Single | 74% | 25% | ||
| 2022-05-18 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-05-18 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-05-07 | Groundout | ||||
| 2022-05-07 | Lineout | 19% | 3% | 78% | |
| 2022-05-07 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
