Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rowdy Tellez

matchup for Tyler Glasnow

375th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

Tyler Glasnow

matchup for Rowdy Tellez

536th out of 564 (Worst 5%)

Strong advantage for Glasnow

Rowdy Tellez has a 26.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Glasnow, which is 5.8% lower than Tellez's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Glasnow.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.0%	18.8%	2.5%	5.2%	11.2%	7.1%	28.4%
Tellez	-5.8	-2.8	-0.8	-0.1	-1.9	-3.0	+4.6
Glasnow	+1.2	+1.1	+0.4	+0.8	-0.2	+0.2	-2.9

Rowdy Tellez is better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Glasnow is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Tellez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Tyler Glasnow throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Rowdy Tellez has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

55%

Curve (R)

22%

Slider (R)

18%

15% of Tyler Glasnow's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Rowdy Tellez has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Meatball 2%

-4%

39% of Tyler Glasnow's pitches are classified as Minimal Break, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Rowdy Tellez has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Minimal Break 39%

+29%

Very Fast Velo 31%

+23%

Extreme Drop 23%

+18%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

13.4% of Rowdy Tellez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Glasnow strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 11.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.0% +11.0% 4%

Walk -0.2% -0.8% 39%

In Play +2.2% -10.2% 39%

On Base -0.3% -6.6% 31%

Hit -0.1% -5.8% 14%

Single -0.1% -2.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% -2.6% 3%

Home Run +0.1% -1.0%

27.4% of Rowdy Tellez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Glasnow induces Standard Grounders at a 41.6% rate, which is 7.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -7.0% +7.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.6% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer +3.0% -3.6% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -2.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.4% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% -0.4% 1%

No Doubter +0.3% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -2.0% 3%

Pop up +1.3% +0.9%

31.7% of Rowdy Tellez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.4% higher than the league average. 24.8% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Glasnow are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.4% -0.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.6% -0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.1% -0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +7.4% +0.5%

13.4% of Rowdy Tellez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. 12.2% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Glasnow are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.7% +7.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.6% +1.9% 8%

1 to 6° +0.8% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° -0.1% -5.4% 15%

19 to 28° -0.5% -3.3% 11%

29 to 38° +2.0% +0.7% 7%

39 to 50° -1.7% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° +3.8% +0.4%

Rowdy Tellez has 5 plate appearances against Tyler Glasnow in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	1	0	1	0	1	0	0.200
Expected From Contact →			0.69	0.00	0.51	0.18			0.139

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-11	Double		51%	12%	37%
2024-08-11	Pop Out				100%
2024-08-11	GIDP			3%	97%
2024-06-04	Groundout			4%	96%
2024-06-04	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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