Matchup Machine

Dominic Smith

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matchup for Ryan Johnson

292nd out of 436 (Worst 33%)

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Ryan Johnson

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matchup for Dominic Smith

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Smith
9

Model Prediction

Dominic Smith has a 35.2% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Johnson, which is 4.3% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Johnson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.2%25.4%2.9%7.1%15.4%9.8%20.2%
Smith+4.3+3.5+0.2+1.6+1.7+0.8-5.8
Johnson+0.3+1.9-0.2+1.0+1.0-1.6+0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Dominic Smith is better vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Johnson is right handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Johnson throws a Cutter 62% of the time. Dominic Smith has a B grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
62%
   Sinker (R)
18%
   4-Seam (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

14.0% of Dominic Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Ryan Johnson strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 14.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.0% -14.4% 4%         Walk +1.0% +2.1% 40%         In Play +0.0% +12.3% 39%         On Base -2.4% +6.0% 31%         Hit -3.4% +3.9% 14%         Single -1.9% -6.4% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% -5.9% 3%         Home Run +0.3% +16.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years