Matchup Machine

Dominic Smith

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matchup for Zach Penrod

138th out of 436 (Best 32%)

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Zach Penrod

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matchup for Dominic Smith

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Smith
4

Model Prediction

Dominic Smith has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Zach Penrod, which is 2.7% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Penrod.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.6%21.7%2.6%6.0%13.2%11.9%26.5%
Smith+2.7-0.2-0.1+0.5-0.6+2.9+0.4
Penrod-1.4-0.3-0.4+0.3-0.2-1.2+3.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Dominic Smith is worse vs left-handed pitching. Zach Penrod is left handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zach Penrod throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Dominic Smith has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
45%
   Changeup (L)
30%
   Slider (L)
24%

Contact and Outcomes

14.0% of Dominic Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Zach Penrod strikes out 12.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.0% -10.5% 4%         Walk +1.0% +13.9% 40%         In Play +0.0% -3.4% 39%         On Base -2.4% +6.9% 31%         Hit -3.4% -7.0% 14%         Single -1.9% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% -1.8% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -2.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years