Matchup Machine

Dominic Smith

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

75th out of 436 (Best 18%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Dominic Smith

563rd out of 567 (Worst 1%)

Extreme advantage for Crochet
9

Model Prediction

Dominic Smith has a 24.4% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 6.4% lower than Smith's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.4%17.8%2.0%4.7%11.1%6.6%42.0%
Smith-6.4-4.1-0.7-0.7-2.6-2.4+15.9
Crochet-3.0-3.1-0.5-0.3-2.3+0.1+6.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Dominic Smith is worse vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Smith has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Dominic Smith has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

14.0% of Dominic Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.0% +9.4% 4%         Walk +1.0% -1.3% 40%         In Play +0.0% -8.1% 39%         On Base -2.4% -3.9% 31%         Hit -3.4% -2.5% 14%         Single -1.9% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.3% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years