Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Dominic Smith

matchup for Alex Speas

280th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

Alex Speas

matchup for Dominic Smith

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Smith

Dominic Smith has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 3.3% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Speas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.1%	23.1%	2.6%	5.8%	14.7%	11.0%	25.4%
Smith	+3.3	+1.3	-0.1	+0.4	+1.0	+2.0	-0.7
Speas	+0.2	+2.0	+0.0	+0.7	+1.3	-1.8	+0.9

Dominic Smith is better vs right-handed pitching. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Smith has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Dominic Smith has a B grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

77%

4-Seam (R)

19%

12% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Dominic Smith has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Fringe Miss 15%

+3%

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 13%

-4%

Mid Challenge 4%

-7%

96% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 42% higher than the MLB average. Dominic Smith has a B grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 96%

+42%

Minimal Break 38%

+28%

Small Drop 36%

+23%

Medium Velo 27%

+17%

14.0% of Dominic Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.0% +19.9% 4%

Walk +1.0% -0.6% 40%

In Play +0.0% -19.3% 39%

On Base -2.4% -8.2% 31%

Hit -3.4% -7.6% 14%

Single -1.9% -5.7% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% -5.2% 3%

Home Run +0.3% +3.3%

35.5% of Dominic Smith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Alex Speas induces Standard Grounders at a 22.2% rate, which is 12.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.0% -12.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.7% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer -1.5% +9.7% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% +5.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer +1.0% +10.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.9% -7.4% 3%

Pop up -0.5% +8.5%

18.8% of Dominic Smith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% +8.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph 0.0% -9.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.1% +6.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.1% +4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.5% -10.5%

12.6% of Dominic Smith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at this angle, which is 14.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%