Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Dominic Smith

matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

286th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

Elvin Rodriguez

matchup for Dominic Smith

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Smith

Dominic Smith has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 4.7% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.6%	25.8%	3.3%	6.9%	15.6%	9.7%	23.9%
Smith	+4.7	+3.9	+0.6	+1.4	+1.9	+0.7	-2.1
Rodriguez	+0.3	+1.2	+0.3	+1.0	-0.1	-0.9	+2.3

Dominic Smith is better vs right-handed pitching. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Dominic Smith has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

51%

Slider (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

13%

Curve (R)

12%

9% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Dominic Smith has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

35% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Dominic Smith has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 35%

+20%

High Ride 30%

+20%

Medium Break 30%

+10%

14.0% of Dominic Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.0% +6.5% 4%

Walk +1.0% +4.1% 40%

In Play +0.0% -10.5% 39%

On Base -2.4% +8.4% 31%

Hit -3.4% +4.3% 14%

Single -1.9% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% +0.5% 3%

Home Run +0.3% +3.7%

35.5% of Dominic Smith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 25.8% rate, which is 8.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.0% -8.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.7% +3.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.5% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -4.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +1.0% +5.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% +1.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.9% +0.7% 3%

Pop up -0.5% +0.9%

18.8% of Dominic Smith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. 34.7% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% -7.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph 0.0% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.1% -2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.1% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.5% +10.4%

12.6% of Dominic Smith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 15.4% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%