Matchup Machine

Dominic Smith

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matchup for Tanner Houck

170th out of 436 (Best 40%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Dominic Smith

365th out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Leans in favor of Houck
1

Model Prediction

Dominic Smith has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.1% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.8%20.9%1.9%4.3%14.7%10.0%21.5%
Smith-0.1-1.0-0.8-1.2+0.9+1.0-4.5
Houck-1.0-1.2-0.2-0.1-0.9+0.3+1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Dominic Smith is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Smith has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Dominic Smith has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

14.0% of Dominic Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.0% -1.6% 4%         Walk +1.0% +0.2% 40%         In Play +0.0% +1.4% 39%         On Base -2.4% +0.4% 31%         Hit -3.4% +0.3% 14%         Single -1.9% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% +0.7% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years