Matchup Machine

      Dominic Smith

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      matchup for Dylan Cease

      245th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

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      Dylan Cease

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      matchup for Dominic Smith

      434th out of 564 (Worst 23%)

      Moderate advantage for Cease
      3

      Model Prediction

      Dominic Smith has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Dylan Cease, which is 1.9% lower than Smith's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Cease.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Dominic Smith is better vs right-handed pitching. Dylan Cease is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Smith has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Dylan Cease throws a Slider 43% of the time. Dominic Smith has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
      43%
         4-Seam (R)
      42%
         Kn-Curve (R)
      12%

      Contact and Outcomes

      14.0% of Dominic Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Dylan Cease strikes out 19.1% of the batters he faces, which is 6.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.0% +6.4% 4%         Walk +1.0% +0.9% 40%         In Play +0.0% -7.3% 39%         On Base -2.4% -3.9% 31%         Hit -3.4% -4.9% 14%         Single -1.9% -2.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% -2.0% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -0.4%

      History

      No History in the last 3 years