Matchup Machine

Dominic Smith

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matchup for Austin Gomber

45th out of 436 (Best 11%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Dominic Smith

310th out of 567 (Worst 46%)

Leans in favor of Smith
1

Model Prediction

Dominic Smith has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 1.8% lower than Smith's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.1%22.9%2.8%6.3%13.8%6.2%23.5%
Smith-1.8+1.0+0.1+0.8+0.1-2.8-2.6
Gomber-2.6-3.0-0.6-0.3-2.1+0.4+5.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Dominic Smith is worse vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Smith has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Dominic Smith has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

14.0% of Dominic Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.0% -3.3% 4%         Walk +1.0% -2.5% 40%         In Play +0.0% +5.9% 39%         On Base -2.4% +0.6% 31%         Hit -3.4% +3.1% 14%         Single -1.9% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.3% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years