matchup for Blake Treinen
matchup for Dominic Smith
6
Dominic Smith has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Blake Treinen, which is 3.7% lower than Smith's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Treinen.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 27.2% | 18.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 33.2% |
| Smith | -3.7 | -3.2 | +0.1 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -0.5 | +7.2 |
| Treinen | +0.1 | +0.5 | +0.2 | +0.4 | -0.1 | -0.4 | +1.2 |
Dominic Smith is better vs right-handed pitching. Blake Treinen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Smith has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.
Blake Treinen throws a Sinker 43% of the time. Dominic Smith has an A- grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
43%
Slider (R)
27%
Cutter (R)
15%
4-Seam (R)
14%
11% of Blake Treinen's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Dominic Smith has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
11%
+3%
Chaser
8%
+2%
Edge Painter
19%
+1%
Likely Ball
20%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
+0%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
Meatball
2%
-4%
41% of Blake Treinen's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Dominic Smith has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Break
41%
+26%
Very Fast Velo
31%
+23%
Fastball (R)
71%
+18%
Just Gravity
28%
+15%
14.0% of Dominic Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Blake Treinen strikes out 21.8% of the batters he faces, which is 7.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-1.0%
+7.1%
4%
Walk
+1.0%
-0.5%
40%
In Play
+0.0%
-6.7%
39%
On Base
-2.4%
-4.3%
31%
Hit
-3.4%
-3.8%
14%
Single
-1.9%
-1.1%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.8%
-1.4%
3%
Home Run
+0.3%
-1.3%
35.4% of Dominic Smith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Blake Treinen induces Standard Grounders at a 42.0% rate, which is 7.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
0.0%
-0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
+1.0%
+7.6%
7%
Hard Grounder
-2.7%
-1.2%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.5%
+0.3%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.1%
-2.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.2%
-2.3%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.0%
-1.3%
1%
No Doubter
-0.4%
+0.4%
20%
Routine Flyout
+2.9%
-2.9%
3%
Pop up
-0.5%
+1.9%
18.8% of Dominic Smith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. 21.4% of batted balls allowed by Blake Treinen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+0.3%
+7.6%
21%
75 to 86 mph
0.0%
+1.2%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+1.1%
-2.1%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+4.1%
-3.8%
24%
Above 100 mph
-5.5%
-2.9%
12.6% of Dominic Smith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 12.4% of batted balls allowed by Blake Treinen are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-1.8%
+4.9%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.9%
+0.7%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.2%
+0.8%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.5%
-2.5%
15%
19 to 28°
+2.0%
-5.8%
11%
29 to 38°
+1.1%
+1.0%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.4%
+0.6%
8%
Above 50°
+0.9%
+0.2%
Dominic Smith has 1 plate appearance against Blake Treinen in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-07-20 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
