matchup for Zack Wheeler
matchup for Dominic Smith
6
Dominic Smith has a 26.2% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 4.7% lower than Smith's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Wheeler.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 26.2% | 17.9% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 34.3% |
| Smith | -4.7 | -4.0 | -0.2 | +0.5 | -4.3 | -0.7 | +8.3 |
| Wheeler | +0.3 | +0.1 | +0.0 | +1.5 | -1.4 | +0.2 | +2.0 |
Dominic Smith is better vs right-handed pitching. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Smith has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.
Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Dominic Smith has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
42%
Slider (R)
21%
Sinker (R)
19%
Curve (R)
11%
13% of Zack Wheeler's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Dominic Smith has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
13%
+2%
Strong Challenge
7%
+2%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Likely Ball
20%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Meatball
3%
-3%
Non-Competitive
9%
-4%
32% of Zack Wheeler's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Dominic Smith has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Fast Velo
32%
+17%
Fastball (R)
64%
+11%
14.0% of Dominic Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-1.0%
+7.9%
4%
Walk
+1.0%
-2.6%
40%
In Play
+0.0%
-5.3%
39%
On Base
-2.4%
-6.2%
31%
Hit
-3.4%
-3.6%
14%
Single
-1.9%
-1.3%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.8%
-1.2%
3%
Home Run
+0.3%
-1.0%
35.5% of Dominic Smith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Zack Wheeler induces Standard Grounders at a 41.6% rate, which is 7.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
0.0%
-0.6%
34%
Standard Grounder
+1.0%
+7.2%
7%
Hard Grounder
-2.7%
-1.5%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.5%
+1.9%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.1%
-1.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.2%
-1.1%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.0%
-0.7%
1%
No Doubter
-0.4%
-0.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
+2.9%
-4.7%
3%
Pop up
-0.5%
+0.7%
18.8% of Dominic Smith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. 21.7% of batted balls allowed by Zack Wheeler are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+0.3%
+5.7%
21%
75 to 86 mph
0.0%
+1.4%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+1.1%
-1.4%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+4.1%
-3.1%
24%
Above 100 mph
-5.5%
-2.6%
12.6% of Dominic Smith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Zack Wheeler are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-1.8%
+4.4%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.9%
-0.4%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.2%
-0.8%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.4%
+0.1%
15%
19 to 28°
+2.0%
-0.6%
11%
29 to 38°
+1.1%
-1.4%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.4%
-0.8%
8%
Above 50°
+0.9%
-0.6%
Dominic Smith has 15 plate appearances against Zack Wheeler in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 14 with a home run, a walk
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 15 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.357 |
| Expected From Contact → | 4.57 | 0.97 | 0.04 | 3.56 | 0.326 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-06-11 | Flyout | 100% | |||
| 2024-06-11 | Groundout | 4% | 96% | ||
| 2023-08-20 | Single | ||||
| 2023-08-20 | Lineout | ||||
| 2023-08-20 | Single | ||||
| 2023-08-08 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-08-08 | Single | 87% | 13% | ||
| 2023-08-08 | Single | 51% | 48% | ||
| 2023-07-01 | Groundout | 2% | 98% | ||
| 2023-07-01 | Home Run | 97% | 2% | ||
| 2023-06-02 | Groundout | 12% | 88% | ||
| 2023-06-02 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-05-29 | Walk | ||||
| 2022-05-29 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-05-29 | Hit By Pitch | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
