Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Dominic Smith

matchup for Martin Perez

28th out of 436 (Best 7%)

Martin Perez

matchup for Dominic Smith

286th out of 567 (Best 51%)

Leans in favor of Smith

Dominic Smith has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 0.5% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Perez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.3%	22.6%	2.6%	4.7%	15.3%	8.8%	23.6%
Smith	+0.5	+0.7	-0.1	-0.7	+1.5	-0.3	-2.4
Perez	-3.3	-2.7	-0.5	-0.6	-1.6	-0.6	+5.3

Dominic Smith is worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Smith has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Dominic Smith has an F grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

34%

Changeup (L)

25%

Cutter (L)

25%

4-Seam (L)

Curve (L)

22% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Dominic Smith has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 15%

+2%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

62% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 38% higher than the MLB average. Dominic Smith has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 62%

+38%

Extreme Break 34%

+19%

Offspeed (L) 25%

+13%

Fastball (L) 67%

+12%

Medium Velo 24%

+10%

14.0% of Dominic Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.0% -6.1% 4%

Walk +1.0% -0.3% 40%

In Play +0.0% +6.4% 39%

On Base -2.4% +5.9% 31%

Hit -3.4% +6.3% 14%

Single -1.9% +3.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% +3.3% 3%

Home Run +0.3% -0.6%

35.5% of Dominic Smith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Martin Perez induces Standard Grounders at a 38.9% rate, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.0% +4.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.7% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -1.5% +0.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% +0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +1.0% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.9% -3.7% 3%

Pop up -0.5% -0.9%

18.8% of Dominic Smith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. 25.2% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph 0.0% +2.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.1% -1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.1% -2.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.5% +0.9%

12.6% of Dominic Smith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%